Just because they don’t identify as Republican, doesn’t mean they don’t vote Republican

I’m not really as impressed by these numbers as some other blogger/pundits (only 23% of the population self-identifies as Republican). Ever since Ross Perot (at least) the majority of so-called Independents have been semi-disgruntled Republicans.

Let’s face it, both parties are composed of uneasy alliances. The libertarian conservatives are not always happy sharing the stage with the social conservatives, and vice versa. Similarly, urban liberals and rural liberals often don’t see eye-to-eye on key issues.

It’s possible that we might suddenly split into a multi-party political state, but given nearly two centuries of two-party structure that scenario seems unlikely.

Nor is it particularly surprising that Republicans are searching for a new framework. Both parties go through this once or twice a decade. The idea that Republicans have a steady identity while the Democrats are constantly divided and mercurial is not held up by history. Both parties have long histories of fluid shifts. If you reach back far enough you can see that certain ideas have ping-ponged back and forth between the parties.

Even though I’m committed to liberalism, I’m not really interested in a permanent Democratic majority. First, there are a lot of valuable ideas in conservative political thought. These ideas don’t seem to be getting much play with the current incarnation of the Republican party, but they exist.

Second, I’d rather be represented by a principled Republican than a corrupt Democrat. I can’t think of a principled Republican off hand, but I can think of a lot of Democrats I’d like to see replaced.

My fear is that the Palin/Plumber advocates will take control of the party. My hope is that the Republicans will find a new champion that can clearly articulate conservative values.

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